Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.846144e-05 0.000046 0.000053 0.000062 0.000072 0.000083 0.000095
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.991708e-05 0.000039 0.000050 0.000063 0.000078 0.000095 0.000115
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.256727e-05 0.000033 0.000045 0.000060 0.000079 0.000101 0.000129
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.786236e-05 0.000028 0.000041 0.000059 0.000081 0.000108 0.000142
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.475503e-05 0.000025 0.000039 0.000059 0.000085 0.000116 0.000157
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.197255e-05 0.000022 0.000037 0.000058 0.000087 0.000122 0.000170
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 9.910151e-06 0.000020 0.000035 0.000058 0.000089 0.000129 0.000182
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 8.282420e-06 0.000018 0.000034 0.000058 0.000091 0.000135 0.000195
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.660958e-06 0.000016 0.000032 0.000056 0.000092 0.000139 0.000205
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.097007e-06 0.000014 0.000029 0.000054 0.000091 0.000141 0.000211
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.972188e-06 0.000012 0.000027 0.000052 0.000090 0.000143 0.000219
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.501806e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000053 0.000094 0.000152 0.000234
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.630587e-06 0.000010 0.000025 0.000052 0.000095 0.000156 0.000245
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.115847e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000052 0.000098 0.000165 0.000262
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.448393e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000050 0.000097 0.000166 0.000269
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.037398e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000049 0.000098 0.000171 0.000280
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.830960e-07 0.000006 0.000020 0.000049 0.000100 0.000177 0.000295
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.439104e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000048 0.000101 0.000182 0.000307
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.821136e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000048 0.000103 0.000188 0.000320
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.655582e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000048 0.000105 0.000194 0.000334
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.581669e-07 0.000003 0.000016 0.000047 0.000105 0.000197 0.000343
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 7.414089e-08 0.000003 0.000014 0.000044 0.000103 0.000197 0.000348
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.235896e-08 0.000002 0.000013 0.000043 0.000102 0.000199 0.000356